

(0:00) Michael Kratsios joins the show!
(01:56) Is this administration anti-science? The Nature poll, DEI grants, and $8B down the drain
(8:16) Climate science cuts: RCP 8.5 gets pulled and the "climate emergency" narrative collapses
(13:45) $47B at NIH, Eroom's Law, and golden tickets: has American science stagnated?
(22:24) Big bold bets: Genesis Mission, quantum by 2028, fusion by 2035, boots on the moon in '28
(34:04) The great race with China: $33B to $670B, and 7 out of 10 STEM PhDs aren't American
(44:09) Fauci did more damage to science than anyone in modern history, and NIH's median researcher is 71
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(00:00) Besties are back!
(00:13) Dario's two-part essay: regulatory capture, doomerism, and the data center backlash
(10:25) FINRA for AI vs. MPAA for AI: SROs, thinking tokens, and the "DMV for AI"
(30:12) Is an open source ban coming? Harnesses, FDI, jobs, and recursive self-improvement
(56:33) a16z under DOJ investigation over "interlocking directorates"
(1:01:15) Midterms: broken polls, the socialism surge, and CATO's DSA price tag
Come hang with the Besties at the All-In Summit | September 13-15:
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(0:00) The most controversial company in privacy right now, Flock CEO joins the show!
(7:23) License plate data retention: 7 days solves 90% of crimes
(13:00) Camera vandalism, felony charges, and privacy concerns
(18:15) Dirty cops exposed: Flock's audit tool got 9 Georgia officers fired
(28:25) AI, drones, facial recognition, and avoiding predictive policing
(39:43) Safety is a privilege and who actually needs Flock
(45:36) Flock's PR crisis: internal morale, churn, and 20 cities turning the cameras back on
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(0:00) Gavin Baker joins the show!
(2:36) Anthropic IPO report: $2T valuation, $100B+ run rate, October listing
(27:32) Zuck's AI manifesto: What it means for Meta and frontier AI
(56:41) All-In Summit Speaker Announcements!
(58:13) Nvidia's $500B financing plan, how the AI market could fall apart
(1:14:29) NJ and Mamdani take on Amazon over subcontracted drivers
(1:27:32) Grok 4.6 launch: SpaceX's high-ceiling, high-floor AI strategy
(1:35:21) Workday in talks to be acquired by Silver Lake for ~$43B
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Referenced in the show:
https://www.ft.com/content/840ac156-af1c-4a82-b260-ae791072fcfa
https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027
https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2052069691372478511
https://www.meta.com/thefutureisforeveryone
https://x.com/Home_of_Fight/status/2086504599444140344
https://x.com/JensenHuang/status/2086934705207959965
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/04/nj-amazon-antitrust-lawsuit-delivery-contractors.html
https://www.google.com/finance/beta/quote/WDAY:NASDAQ
https://www.amazon.com/Vision-Anointed-Self-Congratulation-Social-Policy/dp/046508995X
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/10/nyregion/mamdani-amazon-delivery-workers-nyc.html

(0:00) Jason and Friedberg welcome Rahm Emanuel
(1:16) Lessons from working with Clinton and Obama
(7:45) China: How to approach conflict, new economic bloc, isolation, and Taiwan
(28:49) Europe: Reasons for the decay of the West
(38:37) Immigration: US solutions, who to emulate, subsidizing college for Americans
(46:55) National debt, government interference in markets, fixing education
(1:09:24) DSA vs Democrats
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(0:00) Bestie intros! Brad Gerstner fills in for Chamath
(2:16) Major shakeups at Google: AI brain drain or better strategy?
(20:39) SpaceX's big quarter: Terafab, AI Capex, $1T revenue projection?
(45:44) All-In Summit Speaker Announcements!
(48:01) Airtable sells for a 90% discount: SaaSpocalypse?
(1:05:56) Chinese AI labs are buying US training data to catch up
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(0:00) Saronic founders join the show!
(4:56) The Navy's first autonomous rescue in the Strait of Hormuz, and how China out builds America 230-to-1
(13:04) $3B destroyers vs. Marauder
(21:25) Killing cost-plus, the new primes, and why only 1% of the budget goes to autonomy
(25:55) Could 10,000 Corsairs actually lock down a 20-mile strait?
(31:25) China's arming robot dogs: will our AI weapons hurt us in Taiwan?
(36:33) Exclusive announcement: Port Alpha lands in Brownsville: 4000 acres, 10,000 jobs
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(0:00) Bestie intros
(1:19) Chip stocks crash, Leopold Aschenbrenner's $20B fund gets margin called
(20:20) China's advantage and green shoots for the US economy
(34:12) Frontier Labs say "SLOW DOWN AI"
(1:01:15) Why are frontier labs "burning books"?
(1:14:45) Socialism Corner: Mamdani's grocery stores and the "Socialist Spectacle"
(1:24:44) Science Corner: Understanding and mapping the brain
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Referenced in the show:
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/30/leopold-aschenbrenners-hedge-fund-is-facing-steep-ai-losses.html
https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-september-762
https://situational-awareness.ai
https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US30Y
https://x.com/nicolasfulghum/status/2082083884578050299
https://theprint.in/science/breakthrough-china-artificial-sun-project-6-5-tesla-magnet/2999321
https://www.pacingthefrontier.com/
https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/why-compute-might-get-10x-more-expensive
https://www.google.com/finance/beta/quote/ASML:NASDAQ
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/27/cxmt-china-market-debut-chipmaker-ipo.html
https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027
https://x.com/v_nefodov/status/2082927219224060043
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-ai-future-is-for-everyone-a0c24e20
https://punchbowl.news/article/tech/thune-anthropic
https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2082577277246972300
https://x.com/Jason/status/2082577230941557068
https://www.404media.co/ai-companies-are-buying-tons-of-old-books-because-theyre-free-of-ai-slop

(0:00) Intro: Humanoids, Robots, & AI+
(0:57) ANYbotics' Dr. Péter Fankhauser: Why ANYbotics Bet the Company on Four-Legged Robot Dogs, Not Humanoids
(13:18) Dr. Péter Fankhauser: China's Armed Robot Dogs Are "Stupid and Risky" — Inside the Terminator Debate
(15:01) NEO's Bernt Børnich: Neo Ships in 2026 and Becomes an Open Robot Platform
(22:18) Bernt Børnich: Robots Building Robots in Just 3 Years — "Hard Takeoff"
(33:45) Boston Dynamics' Amanda McMaster: Spot Is Now the Most Deployed Robot on Earth — Atlas is the Most Capable
(42:36) Amanda McMaster: Chinese Robotics Security Risks
(47:14) Agility Robotics' Jonathan Hurst: Why "This Time Is Different" for Humanoids After 100 Years of False Starts
(58:45) Jonathan Hurst: When Do Robots Outnumber Humans on the Factory Floor?
Thanks to our partners for making this possible!
AppLovin Ads is AppLovin's AI advertising platform reaching over a billion daily active users across mobile games. Full-screen video ads with a 35-second median watch time. Advertisers are profitably spending hundreds of thousands of dollars a day. AppLovin Ads is now open to all advertisers. Sign up at https://applovin.com/ALLIN
If your work depends on conversations — meetings, deal flow, interviews, customer calls — Plaud helps you capture and organize everything with highly accurate AI-generated notes that are not just simple summaries, but also highlight pain points, key decisions, next steps, and customizable summary templates.
Check out Plaud at https://www.plaud.ai/allin and use code ALLIN for up to 10% off! Which is also available on Amazon: https://amzn.to/43URLff (Code: ALLIN10X)
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(0:00) Bestie intros!
(0:18) The fight to save open source AI: Kimi K3 panic, Anthropic/OpenAI regulatory capture
(27:38) Anthropic/OpenAI historic growth rates, China's long game
(48:29) Anthropic's $1.5B piracy settlement and the great IP theft hypocrisy
(1:07:12) Google and Tesla stocks tank on surging AI capex
(1:17:19) Socialism Corner: "Evictions = Violence" and the threat to private property rights
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Referenced in the show:
https://www.axios.com/2026/07/20/ai-us-china-open-source-kimi
https://www.wired.com/story/the-white-house-is-trying-to-figure-out-what-to-do-about-chinese-ai
https://x.com/mkratsios47/status/2079933645888880708
https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-bans-an-open-source-ai-model-in-2026-20260703221501747
https://fortune.com/2025/01/29/deepseek-openais-what-is-distillation-david-sacks
https://stratechery.com/2026/whos-afraid-of-chinese-models
https://x.com/CommerceGov/status/2080341953086886387
https://x.com/tickerplus/status/2080123562560504240
https://blog.tickertrends.io/p/anthropic-vs-openai-arr-tracking
https://x.com/sama/status/2077817060068057493
https://www.anthropic.com/news/detecting-and-preventing-distillation-attacks

(0:00) Bubble talk: Comparing today's AI market to the dot-com bubble
(7:50) AI's real-world limits: why enterprise AI is harder than expected
(16:38) Transitioning to an AI-First Workspace
(21:26) Health & AI: self-directed healthcare and biometric data
(24:30) Politics, wealth tax, and AI as a truth-seeking force
(35:12) Knicks & Sports Talk
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(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:32) New AI regulatory proposal: DeepMind's Demis Hassabis proposes FINRA-type body
(20:01) Stripe, Block, and Advent offer $53B to acquire PayPal
(37:51) Apple sues OpenAI, alleging stolen trade secrets
(42:49) Grok Build data leak, AI data privacy, Tokenmaxxing update, Mira Murati's new model
(59:53) NY bans datacenters, becoming first state to enact a moratorium
(1:22:57) Science Corner: New data on reversing aging!
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Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/chamath/status/2077502408528212144
https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2076957440109625718
https://x.com/satyanadella/status/2076323181154230284
https://x.com/Jason/status/2076231055443440105
https://x.com/SquawkCNBC/status/2077741908391031246
https://thinkingmachines.ai/news/introducing-inkling
https://x.com/politico/status/2077315780144996633
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1978145266269077891
https://9to5mac.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2026/07/Apple-Inc.-v.-Liu-et-al.pdf
https://x.com/markgurman/status/2076306380583997665
https://www.engadget.com/2216186/elon-musk-bought-a-gas-turbine-company
https://x.com/Reuters/status/2076957424339050839
https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/2077596563380072694
https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/2077606887055306879
https://openai.com/index/prc-linked-influence-operations-ai-debates
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/10/openai-china-ai-data-centers-report-00957612
https://trends.google.com/explore?q=GMO%2C%2Fm%2F0dkz0z&date=2010-01-01%202026-07-15&geo=US

(0:00) Former Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger joins Jason!
(1:41) What Went Wrong at Intel
(15:19) Why a Taiwan Blockade Would Cripple the US Economy
(25:00) Lovable's Anton Osika: One Million New Apps a Week
(33:38) How Lovable is Bringing Down Builder Costs
Thanks to our partners for making this possible!
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Plaud - If your work depends on conversations — meetings, deal flow, interviews, customer calls — Plaud helps you capture and organize everything with highly accurate AI-generated notes that are not just simple summaries, but also highlight pain points, key decisions, next steps, and customizable summary templates. Check out Plaud at https://plaud.ai/allin and use code ALLIN for up to 20% off! Which is also available on Amazon: https://amzn.to/43URLff (Code: ALLIN20X)
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And a special thank you to Raise Summit for hosting us in Paris

(0:00) ElevenLabs' $600M ARR Ramp, 600 Employees & Life Without PMs
(15:34) Celebrity Voice Deals, Deepfake Impersonation & Racing OpenAI and Anthropic
(31:42) Legora's Hypergrowth, Disrupting Law Firms & the Billable Hour
(42:31) LexisNexis Decline, Legal Data Moats & Legora's Narrow AI Models
Thanks to our partners for making this possible!
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Oracle powers AI at every scale—from frontier labs to enterprise production. Your data. Leading models. No lock-in. One platform, architected for AI. Built for business. Visit https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-experience/?source=:ex:sn:::::AllIn&SC=:ex:sn:::::AllIn&pcode=
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And a special thank you to Raise Summit for hosting us in Paris

(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner fills in for Friedberg!
(2:58) OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs: Why it matters who goes first, what they learned from the SpaceX IPO, the unlimited TAM of intelligence
(27:39) The open source decision, Meta's new model, Zuck's price war, AI duopoly
(54:29) CCP considering putting export controls on Chinese models, is open source ending in China?
(1:03:09) Trump Accounts launch, getting young Americans bought back into capitalism
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Referenced in the show:
https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027
https://x.com/thejessezhang/status/2074154325933424861
https://x.com/praveenTweets/status/2074605343439810922
https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074802778074124434
https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074814752174522857
https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2070670644577280109
https://x.com/andyfang/status/2074252174226493584
https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074630732019036574
https://x.com/finkd/status/2075218444056707458
https://x.com/alighodsi/status/2074996561306955958
https://blog.nicolasmeridjen.com/en/blog/2026-04-03-alibaba-qwen-closed-source-end-of-open-weight
https://www.chinatalk.media/p/chinas-ai-companies-are-going-closed