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#2537 - David Sinclair

Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
The Andrej Karpathy episode.
During this interview, Andrej explains why reinforcement learning is terrible (but everything else is much worse), why AGI will just blend into the previous ~2.5 centuries of 2% GDP growth, why self driving took so long to crack, and what he sees as the future of education.
It was a pleasure chatting with him.
Watch on YouTube; read the transcript.
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Timestamps
(00:00:00) – AGI is still a decade away
(00:29:45) – LLM cognitive deficits
(00:40:05) – RL is terrible
(00:49:38) – How do humans learn?
(01:06:25) – AGI will blend into 2% GDP growth
(01:17:36) – ASI
(01:32:50) – Evolution of intelligence & culture
(01:42:55) - Why self driving took so long
(01:56:20) - Future of education
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.dwarkesh.com

What if you could talk without speaking?

The AI Trap: Why Buying More Tech Won’t Fix Your Broken Business

The Difference Between Spectators and Builders
It is easy to spend your life consuming what other people create. The harder path is stepping into the arena and deciding to build something yourself.
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In this episode, you’ll learn:
• Why consuming and creating lead to very different outcomes
• How entrepreneurship turns ideas into real-world value
• Why meaningful creation requires accepting risk and responsibility
• How building something can become part of your long-term legacy
The truth is simple: At some point, you have to decide whether you want to keep watching or start building.
Create the value. Solve the problem. Put your ideas into the world and leave behind evidence that you were here.
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Retired Military Leaders Warn of National Security Risks as Missile Shortages Mount

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