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What if you could talk without speaking?

#2537 - David Sinclair

Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
The Andrej Karpathy episode.
During this interview, Andrej explains why reinforcement learning is terrible (but everything else is much worse), why AGI will just blend into the previous ~2.5 centuries of 2% GDP growth, why self driving took so long to crack, and what he sees as the future of education.
It was a pleasure chatting with him.
Watch on YouTube; read the transcript.
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Timestamps
(00:00:00) – AGI is still a decade away
(00:29:45) – LLM cognitive deficits
(00:40:05) – RL is terrible
(00:49:38) – How do humans learn?
(01:06:25) – AGI will blend into 2% GDP growth
(01:17:36) – ASI
(01:32:50) – Evolution of intelligence & culture
(01:42:55) - Why self driving took so long
(01:56:20) - Future of education
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.dwarkesh.com

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Confidence Gets You Opportunities Credentials Never Will
You can spend years preparing yourself for an opportunity that someone else is willing to pursue today.
In this episode of The Level Up Podcast, Paul Alex breaks down why intelligent, capable people often allow impostor syndrome and endless preparation to keep them on the sidelines while less experienced competitors take action and learn in real time.
You’ll learn why competence is often developed through execution, how entering the market accelerates your growth, and why confidence combined with the ability to deliver can matter more than waiting until you have every credential imaginable.
In this episode, you’ll learn:
• Why waiting until you feel completely qualified can slow your progress
• How real-world experience builds competence faster than endless preparation
• Why confidence affects the opportunities you are willing to pursue
• How taking action forces you to develop the skills the next level requires
The truth is simple: You do not need to know everything before you begin.
Step into the arena. Learn quickly. Deliver on your promises and allow experience to turn you into the person you were waiting to become.
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