Trending Episodes

Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
The Andrej Karpathy episode.
During this interview, Andrej explains why reinforcement learning is terrible (but everything else is much worse), why AGI will just blend into the previous ~2.5 centuries of 2% GDP growth, why self driving took so long to crack, and what he sees as the future of education.
It was a pleasure chatting with him.
Watch on YouTube; read the transcript.
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Timestamps
(00:00:00) – AGI is still a decade away
(00:29:45) – LLM cognitive deficits
(00:40:05) – RL is terrible
(00:49:38) – How do humans learn?
(01:06:25) – AGI will blend into 2% GDP growth
(01:17:36) – ASI
(01:32:50) – Evolution of intelligence & culture
(01:42:55) - Why self driving took so long
(01:56:20) - Future of education
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Can James Talarico Reclaim Christianity for the Left?

This Question Can Change Your Life

The Hidden Side of Health Insurance Sales — And How Mara Dorne Became the Industry’s Outlier

640. Rome’s Greatest Enemy: Carthage at the Gates (Part 1)

This One Belief Is Secretly Ruining Your Life — Shelly Lefkoe Explains Why

What Does It Mean to Give Well?

Debt Spiral or NEW Golden Age? Super Bowl Insider Trading, Booming Token Budgets, Ferrari's New EV
(0:00) Bestie intros
(0:23) AI updates: On-prem comeback, token budgets surpass salaries
(19:19) Prediction markets: Super Bowl insider trading, how to police?
(28:44) All-In Liquidity: The ultimate investor conference
(32:48) CBO report: Death spiral, growth opportunity, or golden age?
(48:06) State of the economy and US jobs
(1:03:22) Ferrari's fully electric car goes viral
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Referenced in the show:
https://hbr.org/2026/02/ai-doesnt-reduce-work-it-intensifies-it?ab=HP-latest-text-3
https://x.com/mattshumer_/status/2021256989876109403
https://x.com/Jason/status/2021272988100984862
https://x.com/chamath/status/2022009107964899755
https://x.com/chamath/status/2021991383327027322
https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2026-02/61882-Executive-Summary.pdf
https://defirate.com/news/insider-trading-claims-hit-super-bowl-prediction-markets/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SzuvVcH2amc
https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2026-02/61882-Executive-Summary.pdf
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S
https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/2021608233866027065
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/tree-company-pay-record-fine-immigration-practices-n805756

Greatest Paintings: Age of Enlightenment - Raeburn's Skating Minister

Category is Business: Tuesday, February 17th, 2026

The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026
(0:00) Intro
(0:50) Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire on stablecoins post-GENIUS Act, interest rate impact, growth in 2026, and the future of money in an AI world
(52:33) CrowdStrike CEO George Kurtz on cybersecurity in the AI era, most capable hacker nations, and more
(1:17:53) Archer CEO Adam Goldstein on the state of eVTOLs in 2026 and when to expect them
(1:42:27) Crusoe CEO Chase Lochmiller on powering the trillion-dollar AI buildout
On Public, you can invest in stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, build your own custom index with AI. Get started at https://public.com— investing for those who take it seriously.
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What Trump Wants in Venezuela

From Homeless to 9 figure real-estate Mogul Saving Children Around the World: William Fonseca

Danny Zzzz on Escaping the Box of Comfort
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What if the most terrifying moments of your life were the very things that unlocked your peak potential?
For world-renowned hypnotist and escape artist Danny Zzzz, stepping into a box that's on fire, 180 feet in the air, is just another day at the office.
Danny Zzzz website: https://dannyzzzz.com
But the real escape? It's not from the box—it's from the comfortable life you've settled for.
In this episode of Finding Peak, Ryan Hanley sits down with Daniel Paulin (aka Danny Zzzz) for a raw conversation that started by chance at an airport bar.
They unpack a life story that is anything but ordinary: from being homeless at 13 to building a business empire, surviving a near-fatal bout of insomnia that led him to hypnotherapy, and performing on 17 "Got Talent" stages worldwide.
This isn't just a story about success. It's a masterclass in character development, the power of "acting as if," and cultivating a "raging ignorance to doubt." If you've ever felt stuck, complacent, or afraid to take the next step, this conversation will force you to re-evaluate the box you're living in.
Listen now to learn why the most uncomfortable moments are your greatest opportunities for growth and why success is never about luck.
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The Opinions: Bernie Sanders and Ruben Gallego

Nick Ford Explains the Exact Side Hustles That Let Him Quit Law Enforcement

Why High-Performing Men Secretly Feel Broken at Home — Mitchell Osmond Explains

From Broke College Kid to $500M Pest Control Empire — David Royce Explains

Best Of: Zadie Smith on Populists, Frauds and Flip Phones

Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end
Richard Sutton is the father of reinforcement learning, winner of the 2024 Turing Award, and author of The Bitter Lesson. And he thinks LLMs are a dead end.
After interviewing him, my steel man of Richard’s position is this: LLMs aren’t capable of learning on-the-job, so no matter how much we scale, we’ll need some new architecture to enable continual learning.
And once we have it, we won’t need a special training phase — the agent will just learn on-the-fly, like all humans, and indeed, like all animals.
This new paradigm will render our current approach with LLMs obsolete.
In our interview, I did my best to represent the view that LLMs might function as the foundation on which experiential learning can happen… Some sparks flew.
A big thanks to the Alberta Machine Intelligence Institute for inviting me up to Edmonton and for letting me use their studio and equipment.
Enjoy!
Watch on YouTube; listen on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Sponsors
* Labelbox makes it possible to train AI agents in hyperrealistic RL environments. With an experienced team of applied researchers and a massive network of subject-matter experts, Labelbox ensures your training reflects important, real-world nuance. Turn your demo projects into working systems at labelbox.com/dwarkesh
* Gemini Deep Research is designed for thorough exploration of hard topics. For this episode, it helped me trace reinforcement learning from early policy gradients up to current-day methods, combining clear explanations with curated examples. Try it out yourself at gemini.google.com
* Hudson River Trading doesn’t silo their teams. Instead, HRT researchers openly trade ideas and share strategy code in a mono-repo. This means you’re able to learn at incredible speed and your contributions have impact across the entire firm. Find open roles at hudsonrivertrading.com/dwarkesh
Timestamps
(00:00:00) – Are LLMs a dead end?
(00:13:04) – Do humans do imitation learning?
(00:23:10) – The Era of Experience
(00:33:39) – Current architectures generalize poorly out of distribution
(00:41:29) – Surprises in the AI field
(00:46:41) – Will The Bitter Lesson still apply post AGI?
(00:53:48) – Succession to AIs
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